More From Douglas Farah, U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute

The Next Arms Race (Enlarged Edition) By Henry D. Sokolski, U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute
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With most of the world’s advanced economies now stuck in recession; Western support for defense cuts and nuclear disarmament increasing; and a major emerging Asian power at odds with its... More > neighbors and the United States; it is tempting to think our times are about to rhyme with a decade of similar woes—the disorderly 1930s. Might we again be drifting toward some new form of mortal national combat? Or, will our future more likely ape the near-half-century that defined the Cold War—a period in which tensions between competing states ebbed and flowed but peace mostly prevailed by dint of nuclear mutual fear and loathing? The short answer is, nobody knows. This much, however, is clear: The strategic military competitions of the next 2 decades will be unlike any the world has yet seen.< Less
Tactical Nuclear Weapons and NATO (Enlarged Edition) By Tom Nichols et al.
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The role and future of tactical nuclear weapons in Europe are subjects that sometimes surprise even experts in international security, primarily because it is so often disconcerting to remember that... More > these weapons still exist. Many years ago, an American journalist wryly noted that the future of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) was “a subject that drives the dagger of boredom deep, deep into the heart”— a dismissive quip which would have remained true right up until the moment World War III broke out. The same goes for tactical nuclear weapons: compared to the momentous issues that the East and West have tackled since the end of the Cold War, the scattering of hundreds (or in the Russian case, thousands) of battlefield weapons throughout Europe seems to be almost an afterthought, a detail left behind that should be easy to tidy up.< Less
The Role of Small States in the Post-cold War Era: The Case of Belarus (Enlarged Edition) By Dmitry Shlapentokh, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College
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The United States is not the only global center as it was in the first years of post-Cold War era. Nor are there just two superpowers–the United States and the Union of Soviet Socialist... More > Republics–that define the course of global events. The new multipolarity implies the presence of several centers of power that will provide the opportunity for small states such as Belorussia to move from one center of power to the other and/or engage in sort of geopolitical “ménage de troix.” During the last 10 years or so, Belorussia moved from Russia to the European Union and back, while at the same time engaging in relationships with Iran and China. While relationships with Russia and the European Union have not been stable, the story is different with China and Iran. Belorussia has always maintained a good relationship with both countries, especially with China. This demonstrates the increasing role of Asia in geopolitical arrangements now and in the future.< Less
The Prospects for Security Sector Reform in Tunisia: A Year after the Revolution (Enlarged Edition) By Querine Hanlon, U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute
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The Arab Spring began in Tunisia. The tragic self-immolation of Mohammed Bouazizi in December 2010 struck a chord of discontent and frustration that ultimately propelled Tunisian President Zine El... More > Abidine Ben Ali to step down barely a month later. The reverberations of this unprecedented series of events were felt throughout the region, and protestors took to the streets in Bahrain, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Syria, and Yemen. A year later, Tunisia’s remarkable transition continues to influence the region. Tunisia has achieved in 1 year what none of the other Arab Spring states have been able to accomplish. Some have suggested that Tunisia’s transition might even be a model for the Arab Spring countries. The Tunisian military’s refusal to ire on the demonstrators and its decision to eschew an overtly political role in the transition have left the task of creating a new political order in Tunisia to the civilian bureaucracy, nascent political parties, and civil society groups.< Less

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